Hurricane Lowell Public Advisory Number 38

Issued at 500 AM HST Sat Sep 05 2026 000 WTPA34 PHFO 051441 TCPCP4 BULLETIN Hurricane Lowell Advisory Number 38 NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP122026 Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM HST Sat Sep 05 2026 ...LOWELL FORECAST TO TURN NORTHWARD ON SUNDAY AND APPROACH THE WESTERN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ON MONDAY... ...INTERESTS IN HAWAII SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR LOWELL'S PROGRESS... SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.4N 162.6W ABOUT 630 MI...1015 KM SSW OF LIHUE HAWAII ABOUT 625 MI...1010 KM SSW OF HONOLULU HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...931 MB...27.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should monitor the progress of Lowell. Watches will likely be required for portions of the western main Hawaiian Islands and the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument later today. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lowell was located near latitude 13.4 North, longitude 162.6 West. Lowell is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected by tonight, followed by a faster motion toward the north and north-northeast on Sunday and Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Lowell will move across portions of the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument, just to the west of the main Hawaiian Islands, Monday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher gusts. Lowell is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next day or so, followed by a gradual weakening trend on Sunday and Monday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 931 mb (27.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Lowell can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header HFOTCDCP4 and WMO header WTPA44 PHFO. RAINFALL: Hurricane Lowell is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches, with maximum totals exceeding 10 inches possible, for Kauai and the Big Island. For Maui, 2 to 4 inches of rain is expected, with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches possible. Across the remaining islands, rainfall of 1 to 2 inches with maximum amounts of 4 inches is possible. This rainfall may produce locally significant flash flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Lowell, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_cp4.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells from Lowell are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions during the next several days across many of the Hawaiian islands. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST. $$ Forecaster Berg